Houston Astros Summer Check Up

Houston Astros

36-22 (First in AL West)




Eye Popping Number

2.67

Last season the Astros were the most productive offense in MLB history, comparative to the Murderer’s Row 1927 Yankees. After bringing back the whole offense, it was expected to be just as dominant. While it’s been good, it hasn’t been dominant. What has been dominant is the pitching staff. After an offseason trade to get Garritt Cole, a full season of Justin Verlander, and another jump for Charlie Morton to go along with the solid Dallas Keuchel and Lance McCullers have pitched to the tune of a 2.67 ERA. That’s five guys averaging a better ERA than any Astros starting pitcher last season (outside of Verlander coming over in a midseason trade) across more starts.

Biggest Surprise

You could pick any pitcher for this section: Cole, Morton, Verlander, even Colin McHugh out of the bullpen, but the biggest surprise has to be Morton. Cole and Verlander have shown they have the talent to be considered some of the best pitchers in baseball, but Morton had the best season of his career last year and finished with a good but not great 3.62 ERA and a pretty dominant 26.4% strikeout percentage. He’s upped those numbers to elite status. He’s has a 2.26 ERA and 31.6% strikeout percentage this season. With career numbers of a 4.27 ERA and 18.1% strikeout percentage, this season has definitely come as a surprise.

Player to Watch

I could very easily stick with the pitching theme here, but I’m going to go out of the box and say Max Stassi. After getting sporadic at bats the first few years of his career as a September call up, he’s finally getting his chance this season. He’s delivered to the tune of a .303 batting average, 5 home runs and 17 RBIs. Those have added up to a 156 Weighted Runs Created Plus, meaning he’s hit 56% better than the average hitter this season, ranking 2nd for catchers with more than 50 plate appearances this season. With Brian McCann on the DL, Stassi will get even more opportunities to showcase his abilities.

What to Watch for at the Deadline


Here’s the deal, holes on the roster are few and far between for Houston. Just when you think they have a weak spot, Tony Kemp turns left field into an above average position offensively and defensively, or Evan Gattis decides to go on a tear and hit 7 home runs over the last couple of weeks to finally bring value to the DH position. But while we’re picking nits, the bullpen can use another arm, preferably a left handed arm. The bullpen is currently sitting at a 65% save percentage, which sits at 15th in the Majors, 4th in the division. Pitchers that may be available would include: Blake Treinen (Oakland), Kelvin Herrera (Kansas City), and Zach Britton (Baltimore). Closing out games is going to be crucial down the stretch, especially after watching the bullpen falter a little in the postseason in 2017. Although I’m sure the ring they won was worth losing a couple years of life due to the stress the bullpen caused.

*All stats as of 6/1 via fangraphs.com and baseball-reference.com

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